芦康沙妥珠单抗对比单药化疗用于转移性三阴性乳腺癌二线及后线治疗的成本-效果分析
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篇名: | 芦康沙妥珠单抗对比单药化疗用于转移性三阴性乳腺癌二线及后线治疗的成本-效果分析 |
TITLE: | Cost-effectiveness analysis of sacituzumab tirumotecan versus single-agent chemotherapy in second-line and later-line treatment for metastatic triple-negative breast cancer |
摘要: | 目的 从我国卫生体系角度出发,评估芦康沙妥珠单抗(ST)对比医生选择的化疗方案(TPC)用于转移性三阴性乳腺癌(mTNBC)二线及后线治疗的经济性。方法基于OptiTROP-Breast01研究,根据mTNBC疾病发展过程构建分区生存模型,设置循环周期为4周,模拟时限为10年,贴现率为5%。以质量调整生命年(QALY)和总成本作为产出指标,计算ST方案相对于TPC用于mTNBC二线及后线治疗的增量成本-效果比(ICER),利用敏感性分析验证基础分析结果的稳健性。结果在以3倍我国2024年人均国内生产总值(GDP)为意愿支付阈值(287247元/QALY)的前提下,使用ST方案的患者在获得增量效用(0.42QALY)的同时也需要支付更多成本,ICER为205562.07元/QALY,低于意愿支付阈值,表明ST方案相对于TPC更具经济性。单因素敏感性分析结果显示,无进展生存期状态健康效用值和ST成本对ICER值影响较大。概率敏感性分析和情况分析结果表明基础分析结果稳健。结论从我国卫生体系角度出发,以3倍我国人均GDP为意愿支付阈值,ST方案相对于TPC用于我国mTNBC患者二线及以后线治疗更具经济性。 |
ABSTRACT: | OBJECTIVE To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of sacituzumab tirumotecan (ST) versus chemotherapy treatment physician’s choice (TPC) as second-line and later-line treatment for metastatic triple-negative breast cancer (mTNBC) from the perspective of China’s healthcare system. METHODS A partitioned survival model was constructed based on the OptiTROP-Breast 01 trial, with a cycle length of 4 weeks and a time horizon of 10 years, applying a 5% discount rate. Quality adjusted life year (QALY) and costs were used as outcome measures, and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of ST versus TPC for second-line and later-line treatment of mTNBC was calculated. Sensitivity analyses were conducted to validate the robustness of the base-case results. RESULTS At a willingness-to-pay threshold (WTP) of 3 times China’s 2024 per capita gross domestic product (GDP) (287 247 yuan/QALY), patients receiving ST gained incremental utility (0.42 QALY) at a higher cost, yielding an ICER of 205 562.07 yuan/QALY, which was lower than WTP, indicating that ST was more cost-effective compared to TPC. One-way sensitivity analysis revealed that key factors influencing the ICER included the utility value of progression-free survival and the price of ST. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis and scenario analysis showed that the base-case results were robust. CONCLUSIONS From the perspective of China’s healthcare system, at a WTP of 3 times China’s per capita GDP, ST is more cost-effective than TPC as second-line and later-line treatment for mTNBC. |
期刊: | 2025年第36卷第16期 |
作者: | 张冉冉;张羽曦;高胜男;冯冰;高宁;刘国强 |
AUTHORS: | ZHANG Ranran,ZHANG Yuxi,GAO Shengnan,FENG Bing,GAO Ning,LIU Guoqiang |
关键字: | 芦康沙妥珠单抗;转移性三阴性乳腺癌;二线治疗;后线治疗;分区生存模型;成本-效果分析 |
KEYWORDS: | sacituzumab tirumotecan; metastatic triple- |
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