司美格鲁肽对比卡格列净治疗二甲双胍控制不佳的2型糖尿病患者的成本-效用分析
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篇名: | 司美格鲁肽对比卡格列净治疗二甲双胍控制不佳的2型糖尿病患者的成本-效用分析 |
TITLE: | Cost-utility analysis of semaglutide versus canagliflozin in patients with type 2 diabetes poorly controlled with metformin |
摘要: | 目的 对二甲双胍控制不佳的2型糖尿病(T2DM)患者使用卡格列净或司美格鲁肽治疗的长期经济性进行评价。方法从我国卫生体系角度出发,构建Markov模型,基于SUSTAIN8研究数据模拟我国T2DM患者在二甲双胍基础上联用卡格列净或司美格鲁肽治疗30年的长期成本和效用,并以2024年我国人均国内生产总值(GDP)的1倍作为意愿支付(WTP)阈值计算增量成本-效果比(ICER)和增量净货币收益(INMB)。通过单因素敏感性分析、概率敏感性分析以及情境分析确认基础分析结论的稳定性。结果与卡格列净+二甲双胍方案相比,司美格鲁肽+二甲双胍方案的ICER为260485.67元/质量调整生命年(QALY),大于本研究设定的WTP阈值(95749元/QALY),INMB为-61576.24元,卡格列净+二甲双胍方案更具经济性优势。司美格鲁肽+二甲双胍方案组糖尿病无并发症治疗成本对INMB的影响最大,但参数在选定范围内的变动不会驱动结果发生逆转。随着WTP阈值的增加,司美格鲁肽+二甲双胍方案在经济性上的可接受概率呈上升趋势。在当前WTP阈值下,司美格鲁肽的年成本需下降42.95%,司美格鲁肽+二甲双胍方案才能成为更具经济性优势的方案。结论从中国卫生体系角度出发,对于单用二甲双胍血糖控制不佳的T2DM患者,卡格列净+二甲双胍方案相较于司美格鲁肽+二甲双胍方案更具经济性优势。 |
ABSTRACT: | OBJECTIVE To evaluate the long-term cost-effectiveness of canagliflozin or semaglutide in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus(T2DM)poorly controlled with metformin. METHODS Based on the perspective of China’s health system, a Markov model was used to calculate the long-term costs and utilities of canagliflozin or semaglutide combined with metformin for T2DM patients in China for 30 years based on the data from SUSTAIN 8 study. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio(ICER) and incremental net monetary benefit (INMB) were calculated using one time the 2024 per capita gross domestic product(GDP) as the willingness-to-pay(WTP) threshold. One-way sensitivity analysis, probability sensitivity analysis and scenario analysis were conducted to confirm the stability of the conclusions. RESULTS Compared with canagliflozin + metformin, ICER of semaglutide combined with metformin was 260 485.67 yuan/quality-adjusted life year (QALY),which was higher than the WTP threshold set in this study (95 749 yuan/QALY),and the corresponding INMB was -61 576.24 yuan,indicating that the canagliflozin + metformin regimen was more cost-effective. The cost of diabetes without complications treatment in the semaglutide + metformin group had the greatest influence on INMB,but changes in parameters within the selected range did not drive decision reversal. With the increasing of WTP threshold,the economic acceptability of semaglutide + metformin regimen increased. Under the current WTP threshold,the annual cost of semaglutide should be reduced by 42.95% to make the semaglutide + metformin regimen more cost- effective. CONCLUSIONS From the perspective of China’s health system, canagliflozin + metformin is more cost-effective than semaglutide + metformin for T2DM patients yueru. with poor glycemic control with metformin alone. |
期刊: | 2025年第36卷第09期 |
作者: | 徐跃洳;王钰博;潘慧敏;单慧亭;陈迹;杨建华 |
AUTHORS: | XU Yueru,WANG Yubo,PAN Huimin,SHAN Huiting,CHEN Ji,YANG Jianhua |
关键字: | 司美格鲁肽;卡格列净;二甲双胍;2型糖尿病;血糖控制不佳;Markov模型;药物经济学;队列模拟 |
KEYWORDS: | semaglutide; canagliflozin; metformin; type |
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